IvyArcIvyArc
4

Sfusato

3yo Gelding · 9-5

Toulouse · Prix Sharaaf Handicap · 7f 209y

#8

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Le Lion D'angers 07/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 1237/05C5C5 @ Vichy 19/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12819/08C5C5 @ Saint-Malo 28/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f94y GS 12828/08C5projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Saint-Malo?4th4th0
2026-08-19Vichy?6th6th0
2026-05-07Le Lion D'angers?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0519/0828/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +28.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/05/202611th33/10%17%+0.17
19/08/20266th25/10%44%+0.44
28/08/20264th22/10%73%+0.73