5

Escape Game

4yo Gelding · 8-11

Toulouse · Prix Du Royaume Wisigoth Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#4

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength2%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ La Teste De Buch 19/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m1f207y Gd 12919/07C?C0 @ La Teste De Buch 05/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m208y GS 130C0 @ La Teste De Buch 29/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f97y GS 13429/08C?C5 @ Lyon-Parilly 07/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m2f205y Sft 122C0 @ Toulouse 11/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 12811/11C?C0 @ Toulouse 30/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 128C0 @ Deauville 30/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 13030/12C?3 @ Deauville 23/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 130C5 @ Chantilly 14/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 12314/09C5projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Chantilly?7th7th0
2026-01-23Deauville35th5th0
2025-12-30Deauville?3rd3rd0
2025-11-30Toulouse?3rd3rd0
2025-11-11Toulouse?3rd3rd0
2025-10-07Lyon-Parilly?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/077/1030/1214/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/07/20252nd10/382%83%+0.01
05/08/20252nd2/189%91%+0.01
29/08/20257th11/486%45%-0.40
07/10/20251st11/893%100%+0.07
11/11/20253rd7/282%80%-0.02
30/11/20253rd7/282%82%+0.00
30/12/20253rd10/147%86%+0.38
23/01/20265th7/163%71%+0.08
14/09/20267th16/116%57%+0.41