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Affirmatif

2yo Colt · 9-2

Toulouse · Prix Du Chateau Narbonnais Maiden Stakes · 1m 1f 207y

#5

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 07/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1287/07C5C5 @ La Teste De Buch 05/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 1285/08C5C5 @ La Teste De Buch 05/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 1205/09C5projClass-projected finish: 1st of 2
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05La Teste De Buch?2nd2nd0
2026-08-05La Teste De Buch?8th8th0
2026-07-07Chantilly?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/075/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength92%

Delivery trend +22.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/07/20267th11/142%25%-0.17
05/08/20268th3/184%30%-0.54
05/09/20262nd7/163%90%+0.27