4
Alexei
4yo Gelding · 9-1
Toulouse · Prix Albert Laborde Claiming Stakes · 6f 211y
#7
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength49%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 7.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Tarbes | 4 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-07-29 | Mont De Marsan | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-29 | Dax | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-15 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength26%
Delivery trend -9.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 30/11/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 01/04/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 11/04/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 92% | +0.27 |
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 15/06/2026 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 29/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 29/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 82% | +0.21 |
| 29/08/2026 | 13th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |