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5yo Filly · 8-11
Toulouse · Prix Albert Laborde Claiming Stakes · 6f 211y
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength36%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 7.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 15th | 14th | +1 |
| 2026-08-10 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-06-11 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-21 | Toulouse | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-04-01 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Mont De Marsan | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength9%
Delivery trend -7.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/2025 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 28/01/2026 | 15th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/03/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 12/03/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 01/04/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 21/05/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 11/06/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 10/08/2026 | 13th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 26/08/2026 | 15th | 9/1 | 53% | 7% | -0.46 |