7

Silgreypit
4yo Filly · 8-11
Toulouse · Prix Albert Laborde Claiming Stakes · 6f 211y
#6
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength45%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.2
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Vichy | 3 | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2026-06-26 | Deauville | 3 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-05-30 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-05-14 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-03-11 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-02-24 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength35%
Delivery trend -10.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/12/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 19/01/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 93% | +0.32 |
| 01/02/2026 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 24/02/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 11/03/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 56% | +0.03 |
| 14/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 90% | +0.19 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 26/06/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 14% | -0.62 |
| 25/07/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |