7

Gouverne
4yo Filly · 9-3
Toulouse · Prix De Bellerive Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#8
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Mont De Marsan | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Dax | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength99%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 21/10/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 30% | -0.17 |
| 07/01/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 69% | +0.53 |
| 01/07/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 05/08/2026 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 8% | -0.29 |
| 17/08/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 30% | -0.07 |
| 12/09/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |