7

Gouverne

4yo Filly · 9-3

Toulouse · Prix De Bellerive Handicap · 1m 3f 204y

#8

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 29/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 2m88y Hvy 14529/09C?C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 21/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 2m2f86y Sft 143C0 @ Pau 07/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 2m88y Sft 1457/01C?C5 @ Dax 18/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 124C5 @ La Teste De Buch 01/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m1f97y Gd 1241/07C54 @ La Teste De Buch 05/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f207y Gd 1323 @ Mont De Marsan 17/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 11717/0834 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 12/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12812/094projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Bordeaux Le Bouscat44th4th0
2026-08-17Mont De Marsan38th8th0
2026-08-05La Teste De Buch412th12th0
2026-07-01La Teste De Buch?1st1st0
2026-05-18Dax?5th5th0
2026-04-22La Teste De Buch?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0918/0517/0812/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength99%

Delivery trend -0.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/09/20253rd25/10%75%+0.75
21/10/20258th10/147%30%-0.17
07/01/20267th20/10%0%0.00
18/05/20265th16/116%69%+0.53
01/07/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
05/08/202612th12/137%8%-0.29
17/08/20268th12/137%30%-0.07
12/09/20264th25/10%80%+0.80