2
Louis D'alice
5yo Gelding · 9-5
Toulouse · Prix De Bellerive Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#6
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Toulouse | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-04-20 | Toulouse | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-01-17 | Pau | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-10-11 | Toulouse | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2024-04-08 | Toulouse | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2024-03-04 | Toulouse | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength30%
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/2024 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 04/03/2024 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 08/04/2024 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 11/10/2024 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 17/01/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 20/04/2025 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 54% | -0.09 |
| 18/03/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |