9
Peyrassol
6yo Gelding · 8-9
Toulouse · Prix De Bellerive Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
77%
Place Prob
62%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Dax | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Dax | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Dax | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Dax | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.2% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 30/11/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 18/03/2026 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 36% | -0.27 |
| 15/06/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 29/06/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 62% | +0.04 |
| 08/07/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 27% | -0.25 |
| 31/07/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 23/08/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 12/09/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 93% | +0.67 |