5
Purple Mood
5yo Gelding · 9-4
Toulouse · Prix De Bellerive Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Deauville | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Deauville | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength31%
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 47% | -0.01 |
| 04/04/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 10/05/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 54% | +0.28 |
| 02/06/2026 | 13th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 04/08/2026 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 22% | -0.59 |
| 16/08/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 36% | +0.20 |
| 29/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 12/09/2026 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 47% | -0.30 |