10
Starecto
5yo Gelding · 8-8
Toulouse · Prix De Bellerive Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#2
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
23%
Place Prob
34%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Dax | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Dax | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Dax | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength27%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 69% | +0.53 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 77% | +0.19 |
| 27/05/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 15/06/2026 | 14th | 22/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 08/07/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 45% | +0.19 |
| 17/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 58% | +0.32 |
| 31/07/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 19/08/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 12/09/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |