3

Tamaghu

4yo Gelding · 9-5

Toulouse · Prix De Bellerive Handicap · 1m 3f 204y

#10

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Pau 16/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 11716/12C?C0 @ Pau 26/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 1213 @ Pau 20/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 12520/0133 @ Pau 20/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 1143 @ La Teste De Buch 21/03/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 11921/0334 @ Dax 08/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m2f96y Gd 1273 @ Mont De Marsan 17/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 12217/0834 @ Tarbes 29/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m2f96y GS 127C0 @ Toulouse 16/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 13216/09C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Toulouse?9th9th0
2026-08-29Tarbes44th4th0
2026-08-17Mont De Marsan36th6th0
2026-07-08Dax43rd3rd0
2026-03-21La Teste De Buch314th14th0
2026-02-20Pau36th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/1220/0217/0816/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength88%

Delivery trend +1.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/12/20257th16/116%57%+0.41
26/12/20252nd7/163%93%+0.30
20/01/20264th9/276%70%-0.06
20/02/20266th12/137%62%+0.25
21/03/202614th25/10%7%+0.07
08/07/20263rd14/126%82%+0.56
17/08/20266th10/147%50%+0.03
29/08/20264th18/15%50%+0.45
16/09/20269th28/10%43%+0.43