8
Balgees Time
10yo Mare · 9-1
Toulouse · Prix Clermont Lefort Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#5
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2025-07-23 | Dax | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-02 | Dax | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-06-16 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-05-28 | Toulouse | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-05-15 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength41%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/2025 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 19/03/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 69% | +0.64 |
| 07/04/2025 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 45% | -0.18 |
| 15/05/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 28/05/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 16/06/2025 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 43% | +0.38 |
| 02/07/2025 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 55% | +0.49 |
| 23/07/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 12/09/2026 | 16th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |