9
Cocoa
9yo Mare · 9-1
Toulouse · Prix Clermont Lefort Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Toulouse | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Toulouse | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Pau | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Pau | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-09 | Pau | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-12-20 | Pau | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength59%
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 11/11/2025 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 23/11/2025 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 21% | +0.06 |
| 20/12/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 93% | +0.46 |
| 09/01/2026 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 27% | +0.21 |
| 16/01/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 08/02/2026 | 13th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 18/03/2026 | 14th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/04/2026 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |