7
Parabak
11yo Horse · 9-2
Toulouse · Prix Clermont Lefort Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#1
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
98%
Place Prob
81%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 7.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-07-23 | Dax | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-07-02 | Dax | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-05-28 | Toulouse | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-05-15 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-01-08 | Pau | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength40%
Delivery trend +4.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2024 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 07/12/2024 | 13th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 30/12/2024 | 14th | 16/1 | 16% | 7% | -0.09 |
| 08/01/2025 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 15/05/2025 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 28/05/2025 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 02/07/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 23/07/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 62% | +0.35 |
| 12/09/2026 | 14th | 80/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |