2

Theclimb
8yo Gelding · 9-5
Toulouse · Prix Clermont Lefort Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Dax | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Dax | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Dax | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Dax | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/2026 | 14th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/05/2026 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 23% | +0.18 |
| 11/05/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 15/06/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 29/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 54% | +0.17 |
| 08/07/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 18% | -0.19 |
| 17/07/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 92% | +0.87 |
| 23/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 91% | +0.20 |
| 12/09/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |