IvyArcIvyArc
7

Nouste Color

3yo Filly · 9-1

Toulouse · Prix De La Croix Blanche Stakes · 1m 3f 204y

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

80%

Place Prob

59%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Dax 18/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 12018/05C5C5 @ Dax 31/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 1m2f96y Gd 12431/07C5C5 @ Toulouse 02/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m2f96y Gd 1272/09C5projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Toulouse?3rd3rd0
2026-07-31Dax?4th4th0
2026-05-18Dax?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0531/072/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength79%

Delivery trend +8.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/05/20266th4/179%62%-0.17
31/07/20264th3/184%40%-0.44
02/09/20263rd9/276%75%-0.01