American Gal
4yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 4 · OR 96
Ascot · BetMGM British EBF October Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Listed) · 7f
#12
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Doncaster | 1 | 8th | 8th | +0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Pontefract | 1 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Newmarket | 1 | 9th | 9th | +0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Kempton | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Chantilly | ? | 7th | 7th | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 26/07/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 88% | +0.27 |
| 30/08/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 20/09/2025 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 54% | -0.32 |
| 28/03/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 03/05/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 17/06/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 61% | +0.61 |
| 07/07/2026 | 10th | 13/2 | 66% | 18% | -0.48 |
| 13/09/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 61% | +0.61 |