IvyArcIvyArc
  1. home
  2. keeneland
  3. race-7

20:12 · Keeneland

Race 7 - Stoll Keenon Ogden Phoenix Stakes - Grade 2

6f4YO plusDIRT11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
10
Top Pick1
OR 115
7/2
Nakatomi silks

Qatar Racing Llc And Hay, Mrs Fitriani

Nakatomi

7yo Gelding · 8-9

Firing Line - Applelicious (Flatter)

Irad Ortiz Jr60%1/3Wesley Ward
531954
4.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

7/06 · C1 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par7/0619/07 · C0 · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par3/10 · C0 · finish vs mark above3/10 · mark par1/11 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/11 · mark par28/03 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par22/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 33%7/06Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%3/10Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 64%28/03Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 40%22/08
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength82%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.9%Ahead 3/4
6
2
OR 105
8/1
Viking silks

Lieblong, Alex And Lieblong, Joann

Viking

5yo Gelding · 8-9

City Of Light - Justwalkonby (Giant's Causeway)

Tyler Gaffalione60%David Fawkes
452811
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

1/11 · C6 · finish vs mark below1/11 · mark par1/1113/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/12 · mark par16/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/02 · mark par28/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/03 · mark par4/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par1/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a1/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲5
Strength7%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 40%1/11Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 64%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 88%16/02Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%4/07Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%1/08
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength56%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.5%Ahead 3/4
4
Market Fav4
OR 110
5/2
Verifire silks

Resolute Racing, Delta Squad Racing, Llc And Anderson Stables, Llc

Verifire

4yo Colt · 8-9

Authentic - Ruby Trust (Smart Strike)

Flavien Prat60%3/4B Cox60%
118311
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

16/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par16/0529/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par23/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par22/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par17/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par1/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par1/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲4
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 2/9 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 2/9 | Actual: 100%16/05Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 0%23/08Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%17/06Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%1/08
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -24.5%Ahead 2/4
8
7
OR 107
4/1
Hymn silks

Fleur De Lis Stables, Sparks, William S And Jones, Bret

Hymn

4yo Gelding · 8-13

Mckinzie - Salt Bae (Paynter)

Rafael Bejarano60%3/4R Moquett
411121
8.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

1/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below1/03 · mark par1/0310/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/04 · mark par17/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par27/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par25/07 · C0 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par29/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 57%1/03Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%17/05Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%25/07Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%29/08
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.1%Ahead 3/4
11
3
OR 110
15/1
Here Mi Song silks

Nathan Hayden

Here Mi Song

8yo Gelding · 8-9

Cross Traffic - Mi Viera (Dehere)

Edgar Morales60%2/10William Stinson
312434
5.0

Class Advantage

20/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/07 · mark par20/079/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par13/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/09 · mark par3/10 · C0 · finish vs mark below3/10 · mark par18/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par17/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below17/08 · mark par17/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲4
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 71%20/07Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 86%13/09Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 75%18/07Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%17/08
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength24%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.7%Ahead 2/4
2
5
OR 110
6/1
Booth silks

Heiligbrodt, L William, Heiligbrodt, Corinne, Jackpot Farm And Whispering Oaks Farm Llc

Booth

5yo Horse · 8-9

Mitole - Sophia's Song (Bellamy Road)

Jose Ortiz60%Steven Asmussen
242391
4.0Going 7.0

Class Advantage

28/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above28/06 · mark par28/0620/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/07 · mark par1/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below1/03 · mark par11/04 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a1/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par27/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par27/06projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 57%28/06Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 75%1/03Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 88%1/05Pos 9 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 9 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 0%27/06
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength31%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -22.9%Ahead 1/4
1
9
OR 112
10/1
Mad House silks

James Thares

Mad House

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Vekoma - Stifled Heiress (Munnings)

Sonny Leon60%1/2David Vanwinkle
101154
4.0

Class Advantage

24/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par24/081/11 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/11 · mark par6/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/03 · mark par11/04 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a30/05 · C1 · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par26/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par26/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%24/08Pos 14 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%6/03Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 20%30/05Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 57%26/07
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.8%Ahead 3/4
5
6
OR 102
20/1
Classic Of Course silks

Patrick L Biancone Racing Llc And Dunne, Amy E

Classic Of Course

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Awesome Of Course - Alma Mater (Honor Code)

Luis Saez60%P Biancone
324212
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

29/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below29/03 · mark par29/0325/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par6/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a4/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par3/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/08 · mark par29/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a29/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲4
Strength5%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 40%29/03Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 83%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%6/06Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%3/08Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 83%29/08
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 10-11 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.7%Ahead 1/4
9
10
OR 96
30/1
Jack's Promise silks

Robert Baron

Jack's Promise

4yo Colt · 8-9

Promises Fulfilled - Malibu Treasure (Malibu Moon)

Brian Jr Hernandez60%Dale Romans
171154
5.0Going 7.0

Class Advantage

30/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/10 · mark par30/1023/11 · C6 · finish vs mark below23/11 · mark par24/12 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/12 · mark par21/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/02 · mark par28/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/03 · mark par12/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲5
Strength5%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%30/10Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%24/12Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%28/03Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 50%12/09
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.9%Ahead 3/4
7
11
OR 98
30/1
C K Wonder silks

Mark Stanley

C K Wonder

4yo Colt · 8-9

Vekoma - Dad'ssilverpitcher (Giant's Causeway)

Luan MachadoDale Romans
410261
6.0

Class Advantage

25/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below25/05 · mark par25/057/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/02 · mark par4/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below4/04 · mark par6/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par27/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par22/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲5
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 70%25/05Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%4/04Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 55%27/06Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%22/08
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength44%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.5%Ahead 3/4
3
8
OR 107
15/1
Little Thunder silks

Blazing Meadows Farm And Equels, Thomas K

Little Thunder

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Noble Bird - Circular Rainbow (Circular Quay)

John Velazquez60%1/1Timothy Hamm
1211
7.0

Class Advantage

24/12 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a24/1231/01 · C6 · finish vs mark below31/01 · mark par31/0114/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/02 · mark par14/027/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲5
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%24/12Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 90%31/01Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%14/02Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%7/09
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 7-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength16%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.8%Ahead 3/4