18:00 · Southwell

bettingsites.co.uk Free Bet Offers Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

7f 14yGoing TBCClass 43YO plusALLWEATHER11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 83
6/4
Cloud Forest silks

Godolphin

4yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 1

Blue Point - Chapelli (Poet's Voice)

William Carson60%0/1S bin Suroor60%
6222
7.0Going 8.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Runner-up last 3 starts, showing further progress when beaten 1¾ lengths by Abundant in 12-runner 1m handicap at Newbury last time. Sets a clear standard now reverting to a minor event in first-time cheekpieces and a bold bid is expected.

Class Advantage

19/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/0514/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/075/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/0826/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 14y · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 44%19/05Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 80%14/07Pos 2 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 89%5/08Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 91%26/08
Projected finish1st of 11
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-182/100
8
3
OR 74
10/1
Skewsby silks

Mark Hickling Racing

3yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 6

Advertise - Sweet Coconut (Bahamian Bounty)

Billy Garritty60%0/3M & D Easterby
732
6.0Going 8.0

Continued a theme of run-to-run progression when 1¼ lengths second of 8 to Lady Vega in novice at Redcar last month, though had the run of the race that day and this looks a stronger race. Makes all-weather debut.

Class Advantage

26/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a26/0811/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a11/0923/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a23/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength11%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 14%26/08Pos 3 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 33%11/09Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 86%23/09
Projected finish2nd of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
90%1-177/100
2
2
4/1
Imperial Ballet silks

Cheveley Park Stud

3yo Filly · 9-7 · Draw 7

Blue Point - Osipova (Makfi)

Rob HornbyA M Balding60%
1
10.0Going 8.0

Blue Point filly. Looked a useful prospect when winning 11-runner 6f maiden at Newbury on debut by 3½ lengths from Khafar. Not seen since, but is open to improvement now tackling 1m and an all-weather surface for the first time.

Class Advantage

28/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a28/08
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%28/08
Projected finish3rd of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
80%1-450/100
6
4
OR 79
5/2
Hozam silks

Mr Stephen J Hine

3yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 4

Hello Youmzain - Aristocratic Lady (Kris S)

Joe Leavy60%K Frost60%
322
6.0

Shaped with promise when placed in a pair of maidens at Wolverhampton in June for George Boughey, runner-up in 7f event on second occasion. Sold for only 7,000gns afterwards, though, and was some way below that previous level when chasing home Reformation at Newcastle last time.

Class Advantage

1/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a1/0628/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a28/065/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a5/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength7%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 75%1/06Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 91%28/06Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 88%5/09
Projected finish4th of 11
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
70%1-274/100
5
5
14/1
Big Money silks

RP Racing Ltd

3yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 3

Ten Sovereigns - Top Table (War Front)

A Mullen70%M Appleby
4
4.0Going 8.0

Shaped promisingly when 8 lengths fourth of 14 to Organise in C&D novice on debut. Returns from 311-day absence, though, and is probably one for handicaps later on. Has been gelded.

Class Advantage

26/11 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a26/11
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 77%26/11
Projected finish5th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
60%2-750/100
9
6
33/1
Talking Bear silks

Marchwood Aggregates

3yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 9

Kodi Bear - Straight Talking (Frankel)

Jonny Peate0/1R T Phillips
35
4.0

Offered something to work on at big odds when 5¾ lengths third of 7 on debut at Kempton (7f), though could only run to a similar level when fifth of 6 in maiden at Newcastle 24 days later.

Class Advantage

26/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a26/0819/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a19/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 67%26/08Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 20%19/09
Projected finish6th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
50%11-1171/100
4
8
12/1
All You Can Be silks

Mrs Fitri Hay

3yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 11

War Front - First Of Spring (Galileo)

D C CostelloC Hills60%
6
2.0Class ↓2
1st Hood +1

Son of War Front held back by inexperience when 2½ lengths sixth of 7 to Northern Empire in novice at Lingfield on debut, running green and then meeting trouble after the penny had dropped late on. Wears first-time hood and looks sure to progress. Has been gelded.

Class Advantage

17/01 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/01
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength34%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 17%17/01
Projected finish7th of 11
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
40%4-950/100
7
7
50/1
Manjaros Express silks

Mr Lee Turland

3yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 2

Sergei Prokofiev - Perfect Sensation (Territories)

Alice Bond60%−5lbMartin Dunne
No form3.0

1,000Y: first foal: dam lightly raced half-sister to useful 2-y-o 6f/7f winner Alsindi out of useful 2-y-o 5f winner Needles And Pins. Yard has trained just a single 2-y-o debutant winner since starting up in July 2023.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish8th of 1130% of field
▬ NO HISTORY
Trend▬
Strength0%
11
10
25/1
Pseudonym silks

H R D McCalmont & Hamish McCalmont

3yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 5

Australia - Moorside (Champs Elysees)

S D Bowen60%Ollie Sangster
96
3.0Class ↓2

Well held on both outings to date. Makes all-weather debut.

Class Advantage

11/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a11/0629/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength22%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 14y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 20%11/06Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 29%29/08
Projected finish9th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
20%7-771/100
10
9
150/1
Ze Gucci Poochie silks

Mr Gary Downie

3yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 10

Sergei Prokofiev - Peace And Love (Fantastic Light)

Muhammet Talha Ertal−7lbMartin Dunne
09
1.0

Tailed off both starts and is impossible to fancy.

Class Advantage

23/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a23/0716/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a16/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 25%23/07Pos 9 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 0%16/08
Projected finish10th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
10%11-1171/100
3
11
150/1
Secret Message silks

Mr Aaron Gorman

4yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 8

Ghaiyyath - Disclose (Dansili)

Darragh Keenan60%N P Littmoden70%
0
1.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Showed little in bumper for Michael Attwater in July and went with no encouragement on Flat debut at Kempton last month.

Class Advantage

5/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a5/079/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a9/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 14y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 20%5/07Pos 11 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 0%9/09
Projected finish11th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%11-1171/100