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15:45 · Southwell

bettingsites.co.uk Compare Before You Bet Handicap

2m 102yGoing TBCClass 53YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 69
11/8
Captain Cairney silks

J O'mulloy And W R Muir

Captain Cairney

3yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 2

Sottsass - Cardiff (Dubawi)

Ryan Kavanagh70%1/2−3lbW Muir & C Grassick60%
725112
7.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Front runner who arrives on the up, winning over Leicester and here (1¾m) in July/August and only narrowly denied the hat-trick at Ffos Las (1¾m) 12 days ago. Another bold show is likely now tackling 2m.

Class Advantage

29/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below29/06 · mark par29/068/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par25/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par29/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par21/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 102y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 14%29/06Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 20%25/07Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%27/08Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 88%21/09
Projected finish1st of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-190/100
1
2
OR 74
14/1
Kuredu King silks

Ian Furlong & Neil Clayton

Kuredu King

4yo Gelding · 10-2 · Draw 5

Churchill - Orcia (Shamardal)

D C Costello0/2D McCain Jnr80%
143647
4.0
Cheek pieces

Early starts for this yard weren't devoid of encouragement but not so good at Chester of late. A change of surface needs to help spark a revival.

Class Advantage

10/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/0430/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par20/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par2/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par22/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par12/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▼1
Strength69%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 102y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 25%10/04Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%20/06Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 63%22/08Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 40%12/09
Projected finish2nd of 6
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
80%1-464/100
5
5
OR 62
10/1
Tinkety Tonk silks

Paul & Catriona Brocklehurst Bloodstoc

Tinkety Tonk

3yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 3

Time Test - Sweet Selection (Stimulation)

Rob HornbyH Morrison
056
3.0

Son of Time Test who showed ability in 3 qualifying runs in May/June. Switches to all-weather for handicap debut after 3 months off. Potential improver.

Class Advantage

25/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/0519/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/0630/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength63%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 102y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 12 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%25/05Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 56%19/06Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 17%30/06
Projected finish3rd of 6
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
60%1-545/100
2
3
OR 64
14/1
Betelgeuse silks

Mrs C Campbell

Betelgeuse

4yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 6

Almanzor - Loyale (Turtle Bowl)

Darragh Keenan60%S Woods60%
532536
5.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Wide-margin course winner last autumn and also runner-up twice here (including this trip) in April. Not at best at Kempton last time but could fare better back here.

Class Advantage

20/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par20/0518/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below18/06 · mark par26/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below14/07 · mark par22/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par5/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 102y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 20%20/05Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 75%26/06Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 20%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%22/08Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%5/09
Projected finish4th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength22%
ExpectedActualTrend
40%3-664/100
4
4
OR 69
10/1
League Of Justice silks

Mostly Cloudy Syndicate

League Of Justice

3yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 4

Justify - Apt (A P Indy)

Billy Garritty60%0/1G Tutty
64377
3.0

Lightly-raced maiden. Only beaten just over 2½ lengths when seventh of 8 in 1½m course handicap last Saturday. Significantly up in trip.

Class Advantage

23/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/0711/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/09 · mark par26/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/09 · mark par26/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength61%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 102y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 58%23/07Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 57%11/08Pos 3 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 75%5/09Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%15/09Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 14%26/09
Projected finish5th of 6
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
20%1-549/100
6
6
OR 56
6/4
Saxophonic silks

AMO Racing Limited

Saxophonic

3yo Gelding · 8-4 · Draw 1

Dubawi - Criteria (Galileo)

S D Bowen60%D M Simcock
386441
5.0

Looked exposed as modest at up to 1½m but different proposition stepped up to 1¾m at Wolverhampton 18 days ago, comfortably seeing off 8 rivals. Raised 6 lb but likely has more to offer as a stayer.

Class Advantage

4/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/02 · mark par4/0230/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below30/04 · mark par23/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par23/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par21/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par15/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 102y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 75%4/02Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 62%23/05Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%21/08Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%15/09
Projected finish6th of 6
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%1-374/100