IvyArcIvyArc
  1. home
  2. southwell
  3. race-2

16:20 · Southwell

bettingsites.co.uk Best Betting Offers Nursery

1m 13yGoing TBCClass 52YO onlyALLWEATHERHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 74
9/4
Prince Kameo silks

The Heath House Team

Prince Kameo

2yo Gelding · 9-8 · Draw 6

Kameko - Cosmic Princess (Kingman)

Jack Gilligan60%1/2Sir Mark Prescott60%
805112
7.0Going 8.0

Progressive sort who won nurseries at Lingfield (all-weather) and Thirsk at the end of the summer. Another good effort when second of 5 at Beverley (8.5f) 17 days ago and should go well again.

Class Advantage

20/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/059/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a1/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par5/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par16/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 13y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%20/05Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 10%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%1/08Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%5/09Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 75%16/09
Projected finish1st of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength94%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-568/100
9
3
OR 68
4/1
Absolute Diamond silks

Dukes Head Group

Absolute Diamond

2yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 3

Kodiac - Path Of Totality (War Front)

Joe Leavy60%P D Evans60%
466142
7.0Going 8.0

Won 7f Chepstow nursery in August. Flopped in a seller next time but wasted no time getting back to form when narrowly denied in 7f Chester nursery (heavy) a fortnight ago. Considered off 2 lb higher.

Class Advantage

29/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/068/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par24/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par29/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par11/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par19/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength45%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 13y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 70%29/06Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 0%24/07Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 63%11/09Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 90%19/09
Projected finish2nd of 10
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
89%1-1028/100
1
2
OR 75
12/1
Roosike silks

Jastar Capital & Murt Khan

Roosike

2yo Filly · 9-9 · Draw 4

Sioux Nation - Kaks Roosid (Youmzain)

Donagh Murphy60%−5lbR Hughes60%
32109
5.0

No impact in competitive Class 2 turf nurseries on her last 2 outings but won a 7f course novice prior to that and may fare better back here with her sights lowered.

Class Advantage

23/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/0617/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par20/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par10/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼3
Strength100%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 13y · 60%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 50%23/06Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 86%17/07Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%27/07Pos 14 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 24%20/08Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 20%10/09
Projected finish3rd of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
78%3-860/100
4
5
OR 74
6/1
Agitator silks

Pollyanna Gredley

Agitator

2yo Gelding · 9-8 · Draw 8

Cracksman - Incharge (Kingman)

Benoit D L Sayette60%Oliver Cole70%
01003
4.0Class ↓4
1st Blinkers +3

Left debut well behind to open his account in 12-runner maiden at Windsor (6f) in May. Well held at Royal Ascot and Glorious Goodwood on next 2 starts but back on track with sights lowered when staying-on third over 1m at Leicester 12 days. First-time blinkers replace cheekpieces.

Class Advantage

15/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/0523/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a17/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par21/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼2
Strength78%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 13y · 40%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 25%15/05Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%23/05Pos 24 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 24 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 4%17/06Pos 14 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 24%30/07Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 60%21/09
Projected finish4th of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
67%1-660/100
7
8
OR 70
10/1
On Target silks

Victorious Forever

On Target

2yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 10

Sea The Stars - Vanouche (Invincible Spirit)

Darragh Keenan60%0/1George Scott60%
644
5.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Showed a fair level of ability in a trio of 7f outings over the summer. Gelded ahead of this nursery and all-weather debut with cheekpieces added. Would very much enter the reckoning if the betting speaks in his favour.

Class Advantage

23/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/0714/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/0821/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength86%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 13y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 38%23/07Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 40%14/08Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 40%21/08
Projected finish5th of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
56%1-369/100
10
7
OR 67
14/1
High Hazard silks

Carswells Fire Engineering Racing

High Hazard

2yo Gelding · 9-1 · Draw 1

Palace Pier - Parlour Palm (Bated Breath)

Ashley Lewis60%H Palmer80%
230050
2.0
Cheek pieces

Now 0-7, although a wide draw offers as an excuse when well behind Absolute Diamond at Chester last time. Makes all-weather debut.

Class Advantage

16/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/064/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par20/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par3/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par19/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▼2
Strength86%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 13y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 83%16/06Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 16 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 12%30/07Pos 13 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 56%3/09Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 10%19/09
Projected finish6th of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength32%
ExpectedActualTrend
44%2-1039/100
6
4
OR 71
8/1
The Monkey King silks

King Power Racing Co Ltd

The Monkey King

2yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 7

Time Test - Baldovina (Tale Of The Cat)

Rhys Clutterbuck60%1/3R M Beckett80%
6318
5.0Going 7.0
1st Blinkers +3

Went the right way in novices, winning at Brighton (7f) in August, but disappointing behind Prince Kameo on Thirsk nursery debut last month.

Class Advantage

29/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/0618/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/076/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/085/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 13y · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%29/06Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 78%18/07Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%6/08Pos 8 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 8 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 13%5/09
Projected finish7th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
33%5-1058/100
2
6
OR 74
16/1
Love Rome silks

Mr M Doyle

Love Rome

2yo Colt · 9-8 · Draw 5

St Mark's Basilica - Timbuktu (Fastnet Rock)

Rob Hornby0/1C Johnston
3227
5.0Going 9.0

St Mark's Basilica colt who went close on his 7f Leicester nursery debut but needs to shrug off a lesser run at Doncaster in cheekpieces (quickly discarded) since.

Class Advantage

20/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/0613/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/079/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par9/0810/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼2
Strength74%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 13y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%20/06Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 75%13/07Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 80%9/08Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 14%10/09
Projected finish8th of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
22%6-1063/100
5
9
OR 72
10/1
Rocket Boots silks

The Gredley Family

Rocket Boots

2yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 2

Too Darn Hot - Mrs Moops (No Nay Never)

Jack DoughtyJames Owen
42406
4.0

Fair maiden. Sixth of 8 in nursery (8/1) at Yarmouth (7f, good) 18 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Others are more persuasive.

Class Advantage

14/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/042/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par15/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▼1
Strength68%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 13y · 40%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 25%14/04Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 80%2/05Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 40%15/05Pos 13 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 29%30/07Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 29%15/09
Projected finish9th of 10
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength26%
ExpectedActualTrend
11%4-1053/100
8
10
OR 70
16/1
Tribal Appearance silks

Commercium

Tribal Appearance

2yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 9

Sioux Nation - Semblance (Pivotal)

Pierre-Louis Jamin60%Dr R Newland
2448
4.0
Tongue strap

Little promise on last month's 7f Haydock nursery debut having been gelded. Dropped 4 lb but it doesn't look near enough.

Class Advantage

13/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/0522/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/055/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/063/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength62%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 13y · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 75%13/05Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%22/05Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 40%5/06Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 22%3/09
Projected finish10th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength12%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%4-1052/100