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16:10 · Redcar

Market Cross Jewellers Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m 5f 218yGoing TBCClass 43YO plusTURFHandicap9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Top Pick1
OR 80
8/1
Parisian Scholar silks

Kingsley Park 41

Parisian Scholar

3yo Gelding · 9-10 · Draw 3

Study Of Man - Suffused (Champs Elysees)

Jason Hart60%4/9C Johnston60%
116022
6.0

Completed a double similar company at Newmarket in July. Looked ready for this step up in trip (and return to more positive tactics) when 6 lengths second at Windsor (11.5f) last time. Booking of Jason Hart a plus, too (4 wins from 10 in handicaps for stable here).

Class Advantage

1/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par1/0711/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par29/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par31/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par21/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par14/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f 218y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%1/07Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 29%29/07Pos 13 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 13 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%21/08Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 88%14/09
Projected finish1st of 9
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-752/100
2
5
OR 76
4/1
Duc De Kent silks

Mr Ian Williams

Duc De Kent

6yo Gelding · 9-12 · Draw 2

Zelzal - Public Ransom (Red Ransom)

C J Whiteley60%1/1−5lbIan Williams60%
590601
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Had shown little in 2 starts following a long absence prior to a surprise success in a 6-runner handicap at Epsom (1½m, 22/1) latest. Still looks well-in on paper (only 3 lb higher), however, his latest form may not prove the most robust.

Class Advantage

16/03 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/03 · mark par16/036/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/04 · mark par10/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/05 · mark par25/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par12/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par10/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength62%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f 218y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 50%16/03Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 16 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%10/05Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 18%12/08Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 100%10/09
Projected finish2nd of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
88%1-190/100
5
3
OR 72
10/1
Sure And Stedfast silks

Mrs Karen Spark

Sure And Stedfast

4yo Gelding · 9-8 · Draw 1

Calyx - Norway (Nathaniel)

Greg Fairley70%1/2Ewan Whillans60%
325315
5.0

Suited by a truly-run race when recording a career-best success in a 6-runner handicap at Musselburgh (13f) in August. Seemed a touch rusty when 7¾-length fifth of 12 on contrasting ground at Hamilton (1½m, soft) following 7 weeks off last time. May not get his ideal pace scenario here.

Class Advantage

17/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par17/054/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par27/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par11/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par7/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par21/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f 218y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 78%17/05Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 64%27/06Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%7/08Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 64%21/09
Projected finish3rd of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend
75%1-752/100
9
Market Fav8
OR 72
7/2
Pace Attack silks

Christian Ayres - Osborne House

Pace Attack

3yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 6

Australia - Sorelle Delle Rose (Dark Angel)

P Mulrennan60%Sir Mark Prescott60%
760413
5.0
Cheek pieces

Typical Sir Mark Prescott type who improved for switch to handicaps/longer trips. Off the mark at Southwell in late-August and again looked all about stamina when close third in first-time cheekpieces at Lingfield (1½m). Unexposed over even further on turf debut and appeals as a likely type here.

Class Advantage

25/03 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a25/038/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a28/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a17/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par31/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par12/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f 218y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 40%25/03Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 9%28/04Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%31/08Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 75%12/09
Projected finish4th of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
63%1-658/100
1
2
OR 82
5/1
According To Mark silks

Mr Peter Jeffers

According To Mark

3yo Gelding · 9-12 · Draw 5

St Mark's Basilica - Maimara (Makfi)

O J Orr60%E Bethell60%
42223
6.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Lightly-raced 3-y-o. Gelded prior to chasing home a useful one in a very valuable Doncaster novice in July. Disappointing third in first-time cheekpieces at Hamilton (11f) subsequently. Opening mark certainly a fair one if putting his best foot forward, though, with the longer trip likely to suit.

Class Advantage

27/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a27/1120/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par1/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par1/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength63%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f 218y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 73%27/11Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%20/04Pos 2 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 67%2/06Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 86%9/07Pos 3 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 50%1/08
Projected finish5th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength14%
ExpectedActualTrend
50%4-956/100
8
4
OR 72
6/1
Flash Kozo silks

Mr D Bevan And Mrs D Bevan

Flash Kozo

3yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 7

Kameko - Scattered Stars (Dubawi)

Kaiya Fraser70%1/5Harry Eustace
305122
6.0

Hasn't been seen to best effect either start in turf handicaps. Going the right way on all-weather more recently, winning at Southwell (1¾m) before bumping into progressive ones at Wolverhampton/Kempton. Potentially interesting if translating his form to this surface.

Class Advantage

29/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/04 · mark par29/0415/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par19/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par27/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par18/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/08 · mark par5/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f 218y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 67%29/04Pos 11 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 11 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 23%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 43%19/06Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 88%18/08Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 80%5/09
Projected finish6th of 9
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
38%3-674/100
6
6
OR 75
6/1
Northern Brave silks

Sekura Group

Northern Brave

3yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 4

Gleneagles - Huamulan (Wootton Bassett)

Connor Beasley60%0/4M Dods60%
074232
6.0
Cheek pieces

Heavy-ground Ayr novice winner who is less exposed than most in here. Suited by step up in trip/first-time cheekpieces when nearly doubling his tally at Hamilton (1½m, soft) 12 days ago. Steps up further in distance now and he may well make amends.

Class Advantage

14/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above14/05 · mark par14/0523/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par19/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par1/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par29/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par21/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f 218y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 31%14/05Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 63%19/06Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 71%29/08Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 91%21/09
Projected finish7th of 9
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength64%
ExpectedActualTrend
25%1-752/100
3
7
OR 75
12/1
Golden West silks

Reality Partnerships Xx

Golden West

5yo Gelding · 9-11 · Draw 9

Masar - Gwendolyn (Invincible Spirit)

D Allan60%0/2T D Easterby60%
429258
4.0Class ↓3

Hasn't won since going 2-2 as a juvenile. Best effort for present yard when chasing home a useful one at Thirsk in August. Again in a higher grade than necessary when not seen to best effect (beaten 6¾ lengths) at Ayr (13f, soft) last time. Ought to be more competitive with sights lowered.

Class Advantage

13/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par13/0624/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/06 · mark par10/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par7/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par5/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par17/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength69%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f 218y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 67%13/06Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 11%10/07Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 56%5/09Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 30%17/09
Projected finish8th of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend
13%1-843/100
7
9
OR 67
33/1
Dior Noir silks

Mrs Janet Cooper /m E Sowersby

Dior Noir

4yo Filly · 9-3 · Draw 8

Sioux Nation - Manama (Cape Cross)

Cam Hardie70%0/1M E Sowersby
98024
3.0
Tongue strap

Fair form in maidens up to 1½m for Lorna Fowler last autumn. Looked rusty when beaten 7 lengths in first-time tongue strap on reappearance/handicap debut at Newcastle (12.5f). Something to find at the weights on second start for current yard/following breathing operation.

Class Advantage

27/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/0916/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a2/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/11 · C8 · finish vs mark above19/11 · mark par5/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲3
Strength5%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f 218y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 50%27/09Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 36%16/10Pos 14 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 41%2/11Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 89%19/11Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 40%5/09
Projected finish9th of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%5-775/100