IvyArcIvyArc
  1. home
  2. southwell
  3. race-7

19:00 · Southwell

bettingsites.co.uk Find Your Bookmaker Handicap

4f 214yGoing TBCClass 63YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
Top Pick1
OR 60
6/1
Toptime silks

Mr S R Bowring

Toptime

8yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 1

Gregorian - Dominance (Lilbourne Lad)

Darragh Keenan60%1/2S R Bowring
431327
6.0

Enthusiastic type who returned to winning ways at Nottingham (5f) in June and ran well when placed on his next 2 starts, including over 6f at this track in August. Ran below form last time, but has a good draw and no surprise were he to put up a much better showing back returned to this course.

Class Advantage

31/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/10 · mark par31/105/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par11/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par20/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par16/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par8/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 4f 214y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 67%31/10Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 82%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%11/06Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 92%16/08Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 40%8/09
Projected finish1st of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-286/100
6
Value2
OR 59
7/1
Opal Storm silks

Brian Rothwell Racing

Opal Storm

6yo Mare · 9-4 · Draw 7

Hot Streak - Dark Opal (Camacho)

Faye McManoman2/10B Rothwell70%
894615
6.0Class ↓4
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Third win of a productive campaign when landing a big-field sprint at Ayr (5f, soft) last month. Seemed to excel herself in face of stiff task in conditions stakes at Beverley last time. Back in more realistic company here but has yet to win off a mark this high.

Class Advantage

28/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par28/0713/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par24/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par17/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par22/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/09 · mark par22/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength75%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 4f 214y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 13%28/07Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 67%24/08Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 55%Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 100%17/09Pos 5 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 20%22/09
Projected finish2nd of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
89%1-570/100
10
4
OR 55
8/1
Popular Dream silks

Strangers On The Shaw Partnership

Popular Dream

6yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 6

Oasis Dream - Populist (Shamardal)

Alex Jary0/1D Shaw
666894
4.0

A 4-time C&D winner, the latest from an 8 lb higher mark in January. Has been more miss than hit since, but is entitled to be sharper for the outing after returning from 4-month break last time and every chance he could get this run to suit.

Class Advantage

7/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/02 · mark par7/0227/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/02 · mark par10/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/03 · mark par28/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par21/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par26/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/09 · mark par26/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 4f 214y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 38%7/02Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 55%10/03Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 11%21/05Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 63%26/09
Projected finish3rd of 10
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
78%1-664/100
2
3
OR 62
10/1
Guernsey Angel silks

Mr Trevor Gallienne

Guernsey Angel

3yo Filly · 9-7 · Draw 3

Harry Angel - Aubrietia (Dutch Art)

D NolanP D Evans60%
625075
4.0Class ↓4

Is yet to add to a pair of 5f nursery wins (one over C&D) last year and little encouragement to be gleaned from recent starts but has tumbled down the weights as a result and now drops into 0-65 company for the first time this year. Worth a market check.

Class Advantage

21/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par21/054/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par27/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par13/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/08 · mark par11/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par24/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/09 · mark par24/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength66%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 4f 214y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%21/05Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 90%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 20%27/07Pos 10 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 10 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 10%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 45%11/09Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%24/09
Projected finish4th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength44%
ExpectedActualTrend
67%1-1029/100
1
5
OR 64
4/1
South Parade silks

Richard Fahey Ebor Racing Club Ltd

South Parade

5yo Mare · 9-9 · Draw 10

Invincible Army - Rural Celebration (Pastoral Pursuits)

Ethan Tindall1/4−5lbR A Fahey60%
496315
5.0

Took advantage of a career-low mark when landing 12-runner handicap (9/2) at Ayr (5f, good to firm) in August. Underperformed without excuse at Musselburgh last time but remains on a handy mark.

Class Advantage

10/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par10/0621/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par6/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par31/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par25/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below25/08 · mark par25/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength76%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 4f 214y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 50%10/06Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 38%6/07Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 60%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%8/08Pos 5 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 5 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 20%25/08
Projected finish5th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
56%1-1029/100
7
Market Fav6
OR 58
7/2
Marra Donna silks

Mr Gary Downie

Marra Donna

3yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 2

Cotai Glory - Give Her A Squeeze (Kodiac)

S D Bowen60%0/4Martin Dunne
324593
4.0

Has gone close in a few all-weather handicaps this year and quickly got back to form when 2 lengths third of 6 to Silky Robin at Brighton in June. Sold for 5,000 gns since and has joined a yard that has enjoyed success with recruits from other stables. Market will prove informative.

Class Advantage

5/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/03 · mark par5/0327/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/03 · mark par30/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par18/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par9/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below9/06 · mark par22/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par22/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 4f 214y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%5/03Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 80%Pos 4 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 4 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 70%30/04Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 64%Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 20%9/06Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 60%22/06
Projected finish6th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength64%
ExpectedActualTrend
44%2-670/100
9
8
OR 55
7/1
Midnight Lir silks

Denton Hall Racing Ltd

Midnight Lir

5yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 9

Prince Of Lir - Kerineya (Elusive City)

Sean Kirrane60%0/2M Dods80%
444894
4.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

On a long losing run but ran one of this season's better races when 1¼ lengths fourth of 13 to Hurt You Never at Redcar last time.

Class Advantage

16/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par16/065/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par24/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par15/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 4f 214y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 67%16/06Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 63%24/07Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 27%9/09Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 75%15/09
Projected finish7th of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength94%
ExpectedActualTrend
33%1-664/100
8
7
OR 57
25/1
Fletcher's Flight silks

Mr John Joseph Smith

Fletcher's Flight

6yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 8

Profitable - Autumn Tide (Jeremy)

Joe Leavy60%1/2C Wallis80%
U41740
4.0
Cheek pieces1st Tongue Strap +2

Ended a lengthy losing run in handicap at Chepstow (5f) in June. Has largely struggled since but can have last run overlooked having been denied a clear run. Back down to last winning mark but has yet to prove himself effective on all-weather surface.

Class Advantage

21/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/11 · mark par21/1119/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par6/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par15/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/06 · mark par1/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par14/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 4f 214y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%21/11Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%6/06Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 25%1/09Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 9%14/09
Projected finish8th of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
22%1-1029/100
4
9
OR 60
14/1
Hi Lord silks

Mrs M S Teversham

Hi Lord

4yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 5

Due Diligence - Lady Phill (Avonbridge)

Billy Garritty60%S Hanlon60%
373050
3.0
Visor

Dual 5f winner on turf. Out of form of late but has dropped below last winning mark for yard back among the winners. Needs to prove his effectiveness on this surface, though.

Class Advantage

4/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par4/0610/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par13/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par8/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par17/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 4f 214y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 60%4/06Pos 7 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 7 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 80%13/07Pos 10 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 10 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 18%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%8/09Pos 11 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 11 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 47%17/09
Projected finish9th of 10
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength1%
ExpectedActualTrend
11%5-1064/100
3
10
OR 61
10/1
General Assembly silks

Clare Hobson Racing Partnership

General Assembly

5yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 4

Starspangledbanner - Black Rodded (Bahamian Bounty)

Jack Doughty0/1C Hobson
250458
3.0Class ↓4

Went back-to-back at Chelmsford last autumn and finished runner-up twice on all-weather earlier this year. Has been a bit disappointing on last 2 starts but has now dropped to a career-low mark. Claims if bouncing back but a leap of faith is required on that front.

Class Advantage

26/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/02 · mark par26/0229/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/04 · mark par18/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/05 · mark par11/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par27/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▼1
Strength71%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 4f 214y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 83%26/02Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%18/05Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 70%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 20%27/08Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 13%7/09
Projected finish10th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength11%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%4-1057/100