IvyArcIvyArc
  1. home
  2. fontwell
  3. race-3

14:10 · Fontwell

Nick Peacock Eighty Shades Of Grey Birthday Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m 1f 162yGoing TBCClass 43YO onlyTURF8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 108
4/6
Salkadan silks

Kate Fisher & Sally Hall

Salkadan

3yo Gelding · 11-7

Ulysses - Donatia (Shamardal)

Harry Skelton80%1/2D Skelton70%
31
8.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Fair winner over 11.5f on the Flat who proved much more focused with cheekpieces enlisted (retained) when making second hurdles start a winning one over C&D 5 weeks ago, clear before 2 out and allowed to be eased down. Big player in bid to follow up under a penalty.

Class Advantage

28/02 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a28/0230/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/03 · mark par9/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par4/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par26/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a28/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a28/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength9%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 162y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 14%28/02Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 90%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%9/05Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 75%26/07Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%28/08
Projected finish1st of 8
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength86%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-471/100
1
2
7/2
Royal Sapphire silks

Baxter, Mitchell & Stephens

Royal Sapphire

3yo Gelding · 11-7

Australia - Shahnila (Elusive City)

Ian Power60%1/1J Candlish
1
7.0

Fair maiden on the Flat (best effort at 12.5f) who belied a market drift when making a winning yard/hurdles debut in a C&D juvenile 11 days ago, leading under pressure between last 2 and driven clear. Can make his presence felt again under a penalty.

Class Advantage

8/05 · C7 · finish vs mark n/a8/0520/05 · C7 · finish vs mark n/a1/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par19/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par22/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a22/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 162y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%8/05Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 10 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 36%1/06Pos 12 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 82%19/06Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%22/09
Projected finish2nd of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
86%1-190/100
5
3
33/1
Sapphire Dream silks

The Sam Syndcate

Sapphire Dream

3yo Gelding · 11-0

Cotai Glory - French Blue (Iffraaj)

G Sheehan60%Miss J S Davis60%
No form6.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Positive start for Charlie Clover on Flat this summer, confirming recent promise when landing 13-runner classified contest at Lingfield (1½m) in July, overcoming a wide trip and showing a good attitude to edge ahead near line. Switched yards (6,500 gns) ahead of hurdles bow and betting can guide.

Class Advantage

3/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/12 · mark par3/1213/01 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/01 · mark par30/01 · C4 · finish vs mark above30/01 · mark par11/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par6/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par13/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par13/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 162y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 70%3/12Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 60%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 46%30/01Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 88%6/07Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%13/07
Projected finish3rd of 8
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
71%7-885/100
8
4
33/1
Pepper Fizz silks

Brendan McManus & Derek Coles

Pepper Fizz

3yo Filly · 10-7

Cable Bay - Persepone (Dubawi)

Lorcan WilliamsG Nicholls
No form4.0

Modest maiden on Flat (stays 1¼m) who saw her race out better than often is the case when fourth in handicap at Bath (1¼m, good) 20 days ago. Likely outsider now attentions switch to hurdles.

Class Advantage

4/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/05 · mark par4/0523/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par8/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par22/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par29/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par13/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 162y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 29%4/05Pos 12 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 15%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 55%8/06Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 60%29/08Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 73%13/09
Projected finish4th of 8
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
57%7-885/100
3
6
25/1
Irish Fusilier silks

Jane Davis And Sara Mould

Irish Fusilier

3yo Gelding · 11-0

Soldier's Call - Seven Magicians (Silver Hawk)

Freddie Mitchell60%−3lbG & J Moore
No form2.0

Modest maiden on Flat who has offered little in a trio of handicaps in that sphere in recent months. Yard no stranger to success in this discipline (won this race 12 months ago) but others appeal more.

Class Advantage

12/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a12/099/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a28/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a5/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par12/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 162y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%12/09Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 63%28/10Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 10%27/08Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 25%12/09
Projected finish5th of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength1%
ExpectedActualTrend
43%4-861/100
6
7
25/1
Antiquarian silks

Moorhead, Collins & Partners

Antiquarian

3yo Filly · 10-7

Advertise - Emperatriz (Holy Roman Emperor)

Caoilin Quinn60%G & J Moore
No form2.0

Advertise filly who finished nearer last than first in handful of start on Flat and she rates a likely outsider now hurdling.

Class Advantage

31/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a31/108/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/054/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/0610/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par10/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 162y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%31/10Pos 6 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 17%8/05Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 25%4/06Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%10/08
Projected finish6th of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength13%
ExpectedActualTrend
29%5-865/100
4
8
9/2
Our Wee Horse silks

Dr Paul Kelly

Our Wee Horse

3yo Gelding · 11-0

Vadamos - La Belle Sauvage (Old Vic)

Paul O'Brien60%Harry Derham
No form3.0

Vadamos gelding. Closely related to fairly useful hurdler/very smart chaser Thunder Rock and modest hurdler/fair chaser Sir Rock. Interesting newcomer for stable which does well in this sphere and market confidence behind him would look significant.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish7th of 814% of field
▬ NO HISTORY
Trend▬
Strength76%
7
5
25/1
Flawless Fusion silks

Nohopersjokers&Rogues

Flawless Fusion

3yo Filly · 10-7

Dawn Approach - French Fusion (Harzand)

C O'Farrell60%J Bedi70%
No form3.0Class ↓3
1st Tongue Strap +2

Fair ex-Irish maiden but yet to beat a rival in 2 Flat starts since joining present stable cheaply this summer. Tongue strap now added for hurdles debut.

Class Advantage

10/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/1027/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a12/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/05 · mark par1/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/06 · mark par17/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par27/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par27/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 162y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 7 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 54%10/10Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 89%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 40%12/05Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 6 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 0%17/07Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%27/07
Projected finish8th of 8
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%5-870/100