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6

Awaken

3yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 3 · OR 99

Ascot · BetMGM British EBF October Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Listed) · 7f

#7

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made the frame in the Albany at this course (6f) and Rockfel at Newmarket at 2 yrs. Worked her way back to form this season when fourth in a 1m Deauville Group 3 in August, before failing to last home over 9f at Chantilly 2 weeks ago. Drop back in trip/grade should be more suitable.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength41%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.8
Today: 1
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Royal Ascot 20/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 17 · OR - · 6f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS20/0614 @ Leicester 30/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 6f Goo 1281 @ Salisbury 12/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 102 · 6f Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/09/2025 · OR 102 par12/091OR 1021 @ Newmarket 26/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 102 · 7f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/09/2025 · OR 102 par1 @ Newmarket 15/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 102 · 7f Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/04/2026 · OR 102 par15/041OR 1022 @ Royal Ascot 19/06/2026 · Pos 15th of 30 · OR 101 · 1m GF 135 · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 101 par1 @ Goodwood 29/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 99 · 7f Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 99 par29/071OR 991 @ Deauville 15/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 99 · 7f209y Sft 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 99 par1 @ Chantilly 19/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 99 · 1m208y GS 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/09/2026 · OR 99 par19/091OR 99projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Chantilly16th6th+0
2026-08-15Deauville14th4th+0
2026-07-29Goodwood16th6th+0
2026-06-19Royal Ascot215th16th−1
2026-04-15Newmarket111th11th+0
2025-09-26Newmarket14th4th+0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0626/0929/0719/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 26/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength56%

Delivery trend +2.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/06/20252nd66/10%94%+0.94
30/07/20251st1/12100%100%+0.00
12/09/20259th3/184%20%-0.64
26/09/20254th17/255%67%+0.11
15/04/202611th20/10%9%+0.09
19/06/202615th20/10%52%+0.52
29/07/20266th25/10%58%+0.58
15/08/20264th14/126%73%+0.46
19/09/20266th22/10%29%+0.29