
Domina Ignis
3yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 8 · OR 97
Ascot · BetMGM British EBF October Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Listed) · 7f
#9
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.1 /10 (raw 8.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Doncaster | 1 | 7th | 7th | +0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 13th | 13th | +0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Newmarket | 1 | 18th | 17th | +1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Newbury | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | +0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Southwell | 5 | 1st | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 18/04/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 85% | +0.58 |
| 03/05/2026 | 18th | 66/1 | 0% | 6% | +0.06 |
| 20/06/2026 | 13th | 150/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 13/09/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |