Josh's Joy
3yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 9 · OR 94
Ascot · BetMGM British EBF October Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Listed) · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.6 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Cork | 1 | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Naas | 1 | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Curragh | BHA86 | 7th | 16th | −8 |
| 2025-10-12 | Naas | ? | 1st | 10th | −7 |
| 2025-09-10 | Cork | ? | 3rd | 12th | −7 |
| 2025-08-21 | Leopardstown | ? | 2nd | 11th | −7 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +9.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 78% | -0.08 |
| 21/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 90% | +0.14 |
| 10/09/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 12/10/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 03/04/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 17/05/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 43% | +0.38 |
| 30/08/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |