12
So Regal
3yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 6 · OR 103
Ascot · BetMGM British EBF October Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Listed) · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
1/1
Win Prob
89%
Place Prob
62%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength23%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 2.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.1
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Sandown | 1 | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2026-05-15 | York | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Ascot | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-15 | Newmarket | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-27 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 81/100
▲ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/11/2025 | 3rd | 4/7 | 97% | 78% | -0.19 |
| 15/04/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 01/05/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 15/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 56% | -0.02 |