Aramram
5yo Horse · 9-3 · Draw 10 · OR 105
Ascot · BetMGM Rous Stakes (Listed) · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Ayr | 2 | 18th | 19th | −1 |
| 2026-09-05 | Haydock | 1 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Ripon | 2 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 15th | 14th | +1 |
| 2026-05-13 | York | 1 | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Newmarket | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 03/10/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 28/03/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 16/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 92% | +0.24 |
| 13/05/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 20/06/2026 | 15th | 100/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 15/08/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 69% | +0.06 |
| 05/09/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 19/09/2026 | 18th | 50/1 | 0% | 26% | +0.26 |