Fluorescence
4yo Filly · 9-1 · Draw 8 · OR 104
Ascot · BetMGM Rous Stakes (Listed) · 5f
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Ayr | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | Ascot | 2 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-08-16 | Pontefract | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Hamilton | 2 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-10 | York | 1 | 9th | 9th | +0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Ayr | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 20/08/2025 | 14th | 6/1 | 68% | 28% | -0.41 |
| 21/09/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 20/06/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 79% | +0.73 |
| 10/07/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 01/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 16/08/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 05/09/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 73% | -0.09 |
| 18/09/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |