Lifeplan
3yo Colt · 9-3 · Draw 11 · OR 112
Ascot · BetMGM Rous Stakes (Listed) · 5f
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | York | 1 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Chester | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-22 | York | 1 | 1st | 1st | +0 |
| 2025-07-25 | Thirsk | 5 | 1st | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 22/08/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 02/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 22/08/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |