Regional
8yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 4 · OR 107
Ascot · BetMGM Rous Stakes (Listed) · 5f
#5
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | York | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Deauville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-05-13 | York | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | +0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Beverley | 1 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-08-10 | Deauville | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 17/06/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.37 |
| 19/07/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 10/08/2025 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 30/08/2025 | 9th | 15/8 | 90% | 0% | -0.90 |
| 13/05/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 20/06/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 09/08/2026 | 6th | 15/8 | 90% | 58% | -0.32 |
| 06/09/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |