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5

Royal Power

5yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 3 · OR 111

Ascot · BetMGM Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) · 1m 3f 211y

#4

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Beat an equally smart stablemate at Meydan in February 2025. Completed a double in good style in an Abu Dhabi listed race 12 months on (doesn't stand much racing) and not disgraced when beaten 6 lengths in the Sheema Classic latest. Hood refitted for return (goes well fresh) and looks interesting.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength13%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Kempton 16/10/2023 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 7f Sta 13316/1054 @ Kempton 06/11/2023 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m Sta 1336/1141 @ Goodwood 25/05/2024 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m3f44y Goo 12825/0512 @ Newmarket 12/07/2024 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 100 · 1m2f Gd 135 · beat its mark12/07/2024 · OR 100 par12/072OR 100C0 @ Meydan 20/12/2024 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m4f Gd 13220/12C?C0 @ Meydan 07/02/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m4f Gd 1347/02C?C0 @ Meydan 28/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 111 · 1m4f Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/03/2026 · OR 111 par28/03C?OR 111projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-28Meydan?4th4th+0
2025-02-07Meydan?1st1st0
2024-12-20Meydan?3rd3rd0
2024-07-12Newmarket22nd4th−1
2024-05-25Goodwood13rd3rd−0
2023-11-06Kempton41st5th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/1012/0728/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 81/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +8.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/10/20235th9/488%60%-0.28
06/11/20231st5/493%100%+0.07
25/05/20243rd9/276%67%-0.10
12/07/20242nd5/174%89%+0.15
20/12/20243rd10/1195%80%-0.15
07/02/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
28/03/20264th20/10%40%+0.40