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Completely Random

5yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 5 · OR 103

Ascot · John Guest Racing Bengough Stakes (Group 3) · 6f

#12

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won twice at Lingfield in January, including a listed race and just as good on turf this summer, runner-up in the Wokingham at Royal Ascot before finishing an unlucky fourth in the Stewards' Cup at Goodwood. Seemed to find the extended 6f against him at Doncaster last time and can bounce back.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 8.9 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Kempton 05/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 94 · 6f Sta 126 · beat its mark05/11/2025 · OR 94 par5/112OR 943 @ Lingfield 17/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 93 · 6f1y Std 135 · beat its mark17/01/2026 · OR 93 par1 @ Lingfield 31/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 102 · 6f1y Std 128 · beat its mark31/01/2026 · OR 102 par31/011OR 1021 @ Newmarket 16/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 102 · 6f Gd 135 · beat its mark16/04/2026 · OR 102 par2 @ Ascot 09/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 28 · OR 100 · 7f Goo 135 · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 100 par9/052OR 1002 @ Royal Ascot 20/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 27 · OR 98 · 6f GF 128 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 98 par2 @ Ascot 25/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR 102 · 7f GF 138 · below its mark25/07/2026 · OR 102 par25/072OR 1022 @ Goodwood 01/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 27 · OR 102 · 6f GF 132 · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 102 par2 @ Doncaster 13/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 104 · 6f111y Gd 138 · beat its mark13/09/2026 · OR 104 par13/092OR 104projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Doncaster25th7th−1
2026-08-01Goodwood24th6th−1
2026-07-25Ascot213th15th−1
2026-06-20Royal Ascot22nd4th−1
2026-05-09Ascot210th12th−1
2026-04-16Newmarket111th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/1116/0425/0713/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 3-12 · tight 45/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength30%

Delivery trend +4.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/11/20254th11/893%40%-0.53
17/01/20261st13/891%100%+0.09
31/01/20261st1/195%100%+0.05
16/04/202611th12/137%23%-0.14
09/05/202610th18/15%67%+0.61
20/06/20262nd12/137%96%+0.59
25/07/202613th8/158%20%-0.38
01/08/20264th7/163%88%+0.25
13/09/20265th15/261%67%+0.06