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3

Diligent Harry

8yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 6 · OR 108

Ascot · John Guest Racing Bengough Stakes (Group 3) · 6f

#9

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won back-to-back listed races at Lingfield in February. Translated that form to turf with good in-frame efforts in the Abernant Stakes and the Minster Stakes and quickly bounced back from a lesser effort when third in Group 3 at Newbury (5f) a fortnight ago. This asks for a bit more, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength41%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.6
Today: 1
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Newcastle 28/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 107 · 6f Std 131 · beat its mark28/06/2025 · OR 107 par28/061OR 1071 @ Newbury 19/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 108 · 6f GF 138 · beat its mark19/07/2025 · OR 108 par1 @ Haydock 06/09/2025 · Pos 14th of 17 · OR 108 · 6f Gd 131 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/09/2025 · OR 108 par6/091OR 1081 @ Lingfield 31/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 107 · 6f1y Std 128 · beat its mark31/01/2026 · OR 107 par1 @ Lingfield 21/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 109 · 5f6y Std 131 · beat its mark21/02/2026 · OR 109 par21/021OR 1091 @ Newmarket 16/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 110 · 6f Gd 135 · beat its mark16/04/2026 · OR 110 par1 @ York 13/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 110 · 6f Gd 136 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/05/2026 · OR 110 par13/051OR 1101 @ Newcastle 27/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 110 · 6f Sta 131 · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 110 par1 @ Newbury 19/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 109 · 5f34y GF 129 · beat its mark19/09/2026 · OR 109 par19/091OR 109projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Newbury13rd3rd0
2026-06-27Newcastle18th8th0
2026-05-13York14th4th+0
2026-04-16Newmarket14th4th0
2026-02-21Lingfield11st1st−0
2026-01-31Lingfield11st1st−0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0631/0113/0519/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 3-12 · tight 45/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength24%

Delivery trend -2.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/06/20251st16/116%100%+0.84
19/07/20255th12/137%60%+0.23
06/09/202514th80/10%19%+0.19
31/01/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
21/02/20261st15/890%100%+0.10
16/04/20264th22/10%77%+0.77
13/05/20264th16/116%75%+0.59
27/06/20268th11/486%30%-0.56
19/09/20263rd18/15%80%+0.75