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9

Hidden Force

3yo Colt · 9-3 · Draw 12 · OR 103

Ascot · John Guest Racing Bengough Stakes (Group 3) · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Frankel colt who made it 2 wins from as many starts on all-weather in 1m conditions event at Kempton in February. Seemed unsuited by the track switched to turf when third in the Craven Stakes at Newmarket (1m) when last seen in April and remains open to improvement back from a breathing operation.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength5%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 1.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.9
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Kempton 01/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 7f Sta 1301/1253 @ Kempton 25/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR - · 1m Sta 13325/0231 @ Newmarket 16/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 103 · 1m Gd 128 · beat its mark16/04/2026 · OR 103 par16/041OR 103projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-16Newmarket13rd3rd0
2026-02-25Kempton31st4th−2
2025-12-01Kempton51st6th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/1225/0216/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 7-12 · tight 59/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength17%

Delivery trend -24.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/12/20251st1/195%100%+0.05
25/02/20261st1/499%100%+0.01
16/04/20263rd11/1094%50%-0.44