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James's Delight

5yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 1 · OR 106

Ascot · John Guest Racing Bengough Stakes (Group 3) · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won the Group 2 Greenlands at the Curragh last year and creditable third in that race and a Group 3 there this summer. Underperformed in the Sprint Cup at Haydock latest but shouldn't be underestimated back down in grade.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength43%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.4
Today: 1
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Doncaster 29/03/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 110 · 6f2y GS 136 · beat its mark29/03/2025 · OR 110 par29/031OR 110C1 @ Chantilly 02/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 110 · 5f212y GS 125 · beat its mark02/05/2025 · OR 110 par1 @ Curragh 24/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 108 · 6f Gd 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/05/2025 · OR 108 par24/051OR 1081 @ Haydock 06/09/2025 · Pos 17th of 17 · OR 109 · 6f Gd 131 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/09/2025 · OR 109 par1 @ Ascot 18/10/2025 · Pos 15th of 19 · OR 109 · 6f Gd 130 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/10/2025 · OR 109 par18/101OR 1091 @ Doncaster 28/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 108 · 6f2y Goo 136 · beat its mark28/03/2026 · OR 108 par1 @ Curragh 23/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 107 · 6f Gd 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 107 par23/051OR 1071 @ Curragh 09/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 106 · 6f GF 133 · beat its mark09/08/2026 · OR 106 par1 @ Haydock 05/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 106 · 6f Sft 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 106 par5/091OR 106projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Haydock14th4th+0
2026-08-09Curragh13rd3rd0
2026-05-23Curragh13rd3rd+0
2026-03-28Doncaster16th6th−0
2025-10-18Ascot115th15th+0
2025-09-06Haydock117th17th+0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/036/0923/055/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 2-12 · tight 37/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength32%

Delivery trend +4.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/03/20255th3/184%50%-0.34
02/05/20255th5/287%43%-0.44
24/05/20251st22/10%100%+1.00
06/09/202517th50/10%0%0.00
18/10/202515th80/10%22%+0.22
28/03/20266th11/142%55%+0.12
23/05/20263rd7/163%78%+0.15
09/08/20263rd4/179%50%-0.29
05/09/20264th28/10%57%+0.57