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6

Prince Of India

4yo Colt · 9-4 · Draw 4 · OR 112

Ascot · John Guest Racing Bengough Stakes (Group 3) · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

97%

Place Prob

74%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won 4 times over 6f/7f last year and back on the scoreboard down in grade with a dominant performance in 7-runner listed event at Newmarket (6f) 6 weeks ago. Must enter calculations back at a higher level.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength41%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ York 07/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 104 · 6f Gd 128 · beat its mark07/09/2025 · OR 104 par7/091OR 1041 @ Ascot 04/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 104 · 6f Sft 129 · below its mark04/10/2025 · OR 104 par1 @ Wolverhampton 07/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 104 · 7f36y Std 131 · beat its mark07/03/2026 · OR 104 par7/031OR 1041 @ Newmarket 16/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 103 · 6f Gd 135 · beat its mark16/04/2026 · OR 103 par2 @ Leicester 25/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 102 · 6f Goo 135 · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 102 par25/042OR 1021 @ Salisbury 23/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 104 · 6f Gd 133 · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 104 par1 @ Newmarket 11/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 102 · 6f GF 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 102 par11/071OR 1021 @ Newbury 15/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 111 · 7f GF 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 111 par1 @ Newmarket 22/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 111 · 6f Gd 129 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 111 par22/081OR 111projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Newmarket11st1st−0
2026-08-15Newbury12nd2nd+0
2026-07-11Newmarket16th6th+0
2026-05-23Salisbury14th4th−0
2026-04-25Leicester22nd4th−1
2026-04-16Newmarket110th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0916/0411/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 87/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +10.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/09/20253rd4/179%75%-0.04
04/10/20258th11/486%13%-0.73
07/03/20265th2/189%43%-0.47
16/04/202610th16/116%31%+0.15
25/04/20262nd10/382%92%+0.09
23/05/20264th7/282%67%-0.15
11/07/20266th80/10%50%+0.50
15/08/20262nd14/126%88%+0.61
22/08/20261st6/492%100%+0.08