11

Sayidah Dariyan

4yo Filly · 9-1 · Draw 3 · OR 107

Ascot · John Guest Racing Bengough Stakes (Group 3) · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Returned to her smart best when second in Oak Tree Stakes at Goodwood in July but wasn't in the same form when making only late gains at Kentucky Downs (6.5f, firm) last time. Bounce back required in first-time cheekpieces.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength44%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.4
Today: 1
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Newbury 17/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 101 · 6f GF 123 · beat its mark17/05/2025 · OR 101 par17/051OR 1011 @ Royal Ascot 20/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 21 · OR 101 · 6f GF 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/06/2025 · OR 101 par1 @ York 11/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 107 · 6f Goo 126 · beat its mark11/07/2025 · OR 107 par11/071OR 1071 @ York 22/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 17 · OR 110 · 5f Goo 136 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/08/2025 · OR 110 par1 @ Haydock 06/09/2025 · Pos 16th of 17 · OR 109 · 6f Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/09/2025 · OR 109 par6/091OR 1091 @ Newmarket 02/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 108 · 6f GF 134 · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 108 par1 @ Royal Ascot 20/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 18 · OR 107 · 6f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 107 par20/061OR 1071 @ Goodwood 29/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 107 · 7f Goo 132 · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 107 parC0 @ Kentucky Downs 29/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 107 · 6f110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 107 par29/08C?OR 107projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Kentucky Downs?4th4th+0
2026-07-29Goodwood12nd2nd0
2026-06-20Royal Ascot19th9th+0
2026-05-02Newmarket13rd3rd−0
2025-09-06Haydock116th16th+0
2025-08-22York17th7th+0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0522/0820/0629/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 6-12 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength18%

Delivery trend -5.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/05/20253rd10/147%78%+0.30
20/06/20254th66/10%85%+0.85
11/07/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
22/08/20257th8/158%63%+0.05
06/09/202516th20/10%6%+0.06
02/05/20263rd11/486%75%-0.11
20/06/20269th40/10%53%+0.53
29/07/20262nd7/282%92%+0.10
29/08/20264th7/282%67%-0.15