Five Ways
3yo Colt · 9-9 · Draw 10 · OR 104
Ascot · BetMGM Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) · 7f
#16
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 5.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Newmarket | 2 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Chester | 2 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Goodwood | 1 | 6th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Chester | 1 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-13 | York | 2 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Haydock | 1 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 17th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 27/09/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 02/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 23/05/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 13/06/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 31/07/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 22/08/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 26/09/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 27% | +0.01 |