12

Golden Mind

5yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 4 · OR 95

Ascot · BetMGM Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) · 7f

#17

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#17

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ended 2025 with success at Doncaster (6f, heavy) in November. Showed promise initially this spring (excellent fourth in Victoria Cup over C&D) but has gone off the boil since.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength37%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 12.9 /10 (raw 7.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.8
Today: 2
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Doncaster 08/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 22 · OR 99 · 6f2y Hvy 135 · beat its mark08/11/2025 · OR 99 par8/112OR 992 @ Kempton 18/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 102 · 7f Sta 133 · below its mark18/03/2026 · OR 102 par2 @ Musselburgh 04/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 102 · 7f15y GS 134 · beat its mark04/04/2026 · OR 102 par4/042OR 1022 @ Ascot 09/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 28 · OR 103 · 7f Goo 138 · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 103 par1 @ Epsom Downs 06/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 103 · 7f3y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/06/2026 · OR 103 par6/061OR 1032 @ Royal Ascot 18/06/2026 · Pos 23rd of 28 · OR 103 · 7f GF 136 · below its mark18/06/2026 · OR 103 par2 @ Ascot 25/07/2026 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR 102 · 7f GF 138 · below its mark25/07/2026 · OR 102 par25/072OR 1022 @ York 22/08/2026 · Pos 19th of 20 · OR 100 · 6f Goo 134 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 100 par2 @ Ascot 05/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 98 · 6f Goo 139 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 98 par5/092OR 98projClass-projected finish: 18th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Ascot210th10th0
2026-08-22York219th19th0
2026-07-25Ascot215th15th0
2026-06-18Royal Ascot223th23th0
2026-06-06Epsom Downs18th6th+1
2026-05-09Ascot24th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/119/0525/075/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish18th of 180% of fieldRange 13-18 · tight 77/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -8.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 18th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/11/20251st33/10%100%+1.00
18/03/20267th22/10%0%0.00
04/04/20262nd10/147%89%+0.42
09/05/20264th33/10%89%+0.89
06/06/20268th14/126%0%-0.26
18/06/202623rd40/10%19%+0.19
25/07/202615th66/10%7%+0.07
22/08/202619th50/10%5%+0.05
05/09/202610th14/126%25%-0.01