Pellitory
4yo Gelding · 9-11 · Draw 17 · OR 98
Ascot · BetMGM Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) · 7f
#7
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 6.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Ayr | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Goodwood | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Haydock | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-29 | Goodwood | 3 | 16th | 17th | −1 |
| 2026-07-10 | York | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 26th | 26th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/2025 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 27/09/2025 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/05/2026 | 16th | 40/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 18/06/2026 | 26th | 50/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 94% | +0.67 |
| 29/07/2026 | 16th | 22/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 08/08/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 80% | +0.38 |
| 19/09/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |