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7

Eternal Sunshine

6yo Mare · 9-4 · Draw 5 · OR 88

Ascot · Ascot Iron Stand Membership Handicap · 5f

#13

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Struggled for consistency this season but opened account for the year at Hamilton in August. Well held in the Portland at Doncaster (won same race in 2025) next time, but bounced back in first-time cheekpieces when narrowly denied at Newmarket 9 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ York 12/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 85 · 6f Gd 135 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 85 par12/062OR 854 @ Ayr 20/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 82 · 6f Sft 144 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 82 par4 @ Doncaster 03/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 82 · 5f3y GF 142 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 82 par3/074OR 824 @ York 10/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 82 · 5f Goo 137 · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 82 par2 @ York 25/07/2026 · Pos 16th of 21 · OR 83 · 6f Goo 121 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 83 par25/072OR 832 @ Hamilton 01/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 82 · 5f7y Gd 125 · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 82 par3 @ Hamilton 21/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 84 · 5f7y GS 134 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 84 par21/083OR 842 @ Doncaster 12/09/2026 · Pos 18th of 21 · OR 88 · 5f143y Gd 123 · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 88 par2 @ Newmarket 24/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 87 · 6f Goo 133 · beat its mark24/09/2026 · OR 87 par24/092OR 87projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-24Newmarket22nd2nd0
2026-09-12Doncaster218th18th0
2026-08-21Hamilton31st2nd−1
2026-08-01Hamilton22nd2nd0
2026-07-25York216th16th0
2026-07-10York46th8th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0610/0721/0824/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 73/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +6.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/06/20269th14/126%27%+0.01
20/06/20264th10/382%77%-0.06
03/07/20262nd10/382%86%+0.03
10/07/20266th10/382%55%-0.28
25/07/202616th22/10%25%+0.25
01/08/20262nd9/153%90%+0.37
21/08/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
12/09/202618th12/137%15%-0.22
24/09/20262nd20/10%89%+0.89