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Glamorous Breeze

8yo Mare · 9-3 · Draw 3 · OR 87

Ascot · Ascot Iron Stand Membership Handicap · 5f

#11

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Strong-travelling mare who won 3 times in 2025 and returned as good as ever this season, including when fifth of 15 over C&D in July. However, she hasn't been in quite the same form on her last 2 starts, not finding as much as looked likely when fifth of 12 here last month.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength24%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Newbury 16/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 87 · 5f34y Goo 139 · beat its mark16/08/2025 · OR 87 par16/083OR 873 @ Lingfield 04/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 85 · 5f6y Std 134 · beat its mark04/09/2025 · OR 85 par4 @ Lingfield 13/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 89 · 5f6y Std 139 · beat its mark13/09/2025 · OR 89 par13/094OR 893 @ Goodwood 22/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 89 · 5f Gd 135 · beat its mark22/05/2026 · OR 89 par3 @ Windsor 22/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 89 · 5f21y GF 141 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 89 par22/063OR 892 @ Ascot 11/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 90 · 5f GF 125 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 90 par2 @ Goodwood 28/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 23 · OR 89 · 5f Goo 123 · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 89 par28/072OR 893 @ Newbury 15/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 90 · 5f34y GF 140 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 90 par2 @ Ascot 05/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 88 · 5f Goo 127 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 88 par5/092OR 88projClass-projected finish: 4th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Ascot25th5th0
2026-08-15Newbury36th7th−1
2026-07-28Goodwood23rd3rd0
2026-07-11Ascot25th5th0
2026-06-22Windsor32nd3rd−1
2026-05-22Goodwood33rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0822/0528/075/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 48/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength75%

Delivery trend +0.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/08/20259th13/266%20%-0.46
04/09/20251st11/142%100%+0.58
13/09/20253rd13/266%78%+0.12
22/05/20263rd20/10%78%+0.78
22/06/20262nd6/168%88%+0.19
11/07/20265th14/126%71%+0.45
28/07/20263rd12/137%91%+0.54
15/08/20266th5/174%55%-0.19
05/09/20265th9/153%64%+0.11