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2

Gold Star Hero

4yo Gelding · 9-11 · Draw 6 · OR 95

Ascot · Ascot Iron Stand Membership Handicap · 5f

#4

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Landed an all-weather hat-trick during the spring and has matched that form on turf with placed efforts over C&D 2 of last 3 starts, close third of 12 to Maelstrom on latest outing. Can make his presence felt.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength24%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newmarket 31/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 80 · 5f Gd 135 · beat its mark31/10/2025 · OR 80 par31/104OR 804 @ Chelmsford City 26/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 79 · 6f Std 135 · beat its mark26/03/2026 · OR 79 par4 @ Wolverhampton 09/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 83 · 6f20y Std 133 · beat its mark09/04/2026 · OR 83 par9/044OR 834 @ Wolverhampton 17/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 83 · 5f21y Std 138 · beat its mark17/04/2026 · OR 83 par2 @ Epsom Downs 06/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 96 · 6f3y Sft 131 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 96 par6/062OR 962 @ Goodwood 01/08/2026 · Pos 18th of 27 · OR 96 · 6f GF 126 · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 96 par2 @ Ascot 08/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 94 · 5f GF 134 · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 94 par8/082OR 942 @ York 19/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 21 · OR 94 · 5f89y Goo 128 · beat its mark19/08/2026 · OR 94 par2 @ Ascot 05/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 94 · 5f Goo 133 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 94 par5/092OR 94projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Ascot23rd3rd0
2026-08-19York25th5th0
2026-08-08Ascot22nd2nd0
2026-08-01Goodwood218th18th0
2026-06-06Epsom Downs25th5th0
2026-04-17Wolverhampton41st3rd−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/1017/048/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 90/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +6.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/10/20257th14/126%40%+0.14
26/03/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
09/04/20261st5/493%100%+0.07
17/04/20261st8/1397%100%+0.03
06/06/20265th18/15%71%+0.66
01/08/202618th80/10%35%+0.35
08/08/20262nd20/10%89%+0.89
19/08/20265th25/10%80%+0.80
05/09/20263rd8/158%82%+0.24