6
Regal Envoy
7yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 7 · OR 89
Ascot · Ascot Iron Stand Membership Handicap · 5f
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Lingfield | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Newbury | 3 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-28 | Goodwood | 2 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Ascot | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Windsor | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Windsor | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength89%
Delivery trend +4.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 04/05/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 18/05/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 88% | +0.27 |
| 08/06/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 29/06/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 11/07/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 28/07/2026 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 15/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.37 |
| 12/09/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 89% | +0.31 |