13
Rhythm N Hooves
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 10 · OR 82
Ascot · Ascot Iron Stand Membership Handicap · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Ascot | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Newbury | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Ascot | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Newmarket | 3 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-06-22 | Windsor | 3 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Epsom Downs | 2 | 19th | 19th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 8-14 · tight 68/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength19%
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 69% | +0.32 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 70% | -0.01 |
| 18/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 06/06/2026 | 19th | 14/1 | 26% | 5% | -0.21 |
| 22/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 10/07/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 36% | -0.35 |
| 25/07/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 42% | -0.11 |
| 15/08/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 05/09/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 36% | -0.37 |