3
Good To Be King
2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 3 · OR 89
Belmont Park · Race 10 - Futurity Stakes - Grade 3 · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -4.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
| 2026-08-01 | Ellis Park | ? | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
| 2026-07-19 | Ellis Park | ? | 1st | 8th | −5 |
| 2026-06-18 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 11th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 72/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength99%
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 19/07/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 01/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 29/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |