7
Just Joe
2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 7 · OR 84
Belmont Park · Race 10 - Futurity Stakes - Grade 3 · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 11.0 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -5.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 1st | 8th | −5 |
| 2026-08-08 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 15th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +53.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 13% | -0.40 |
| 07/09/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |